Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 38

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Iskenderunspor		Düzcespor

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.4	3.4
	1.5	5	4.5
	1.68	4.53	3.38
	1.67	4.11	4.16
	1.63	4.7	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.56)	4.55 ↑ (4.05)	3.79 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iskenderunspor
55.9%

Draw
20.1%

Düzcespor
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

21.3%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iskenderunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Düzcespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Düzcespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskenderunspor than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iskenderunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Düzcespor than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Düzcespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Ayyildiz I. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Demirci M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Iskenderunspor is Qualified for 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)

Iskenderunspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Düzcespor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Düzcespor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Iskenderunspor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Iskenderunspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Iskenderunspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iskenderunspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.04.24	Sarıyer - Iskenderunspor	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Iskenderunspor - Denizlispor	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Menemenspor - Iskenderunspor	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Iskenderunspor - Somaspor	3:0 ✺
03.04.24	Igdirspor - Iskenderunspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWT
- Düzcespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.04.24	Düzcespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Sarıyer - Düzcespor	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Düzcespor - Denizlispor	3:0 ✺
03.04.24	Menemenspor - Düzcespor	5:2 ✺
24.03.24	Düzcespor - Somaspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
24.12.23	Düzcespor - Iskenderunspor	1:5
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
13.04.22	Düzcespor - Iskenderunspor	0:0
28.11.21	Iskenderunspor - Düzcespor	3:1

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