The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Iskra Danilovgrad 46.5%
Draw 27.9%
Rudar Pljevlja 25.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.1%
28.7%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
30.4%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iskra Danilovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iskra Danilovgrad's performance.
Rudar Pljevlja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rudar Pljevlja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iskra Danilovgrad than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iskra Danilovgrad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudar Pljevlja than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rudar Pljevlja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Iskra Danilovgrad - Rudar Pljevlja Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Druga Liga (Relegation: ) and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iskra won 4.
Iskra is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Rudar have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Iskra has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Iskra has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:19 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Iskra against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Rudar
13
4
5
4
18:18
0
17
7
Iskra
13
5
2
6
15:15
0
17
Last Results with these Odds
Iskra Danilovgrad - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.09%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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