Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Itabaiana		Potiguar

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.4	4.2
	1.61	3.65	4.7
	1.6	3.77	4.87
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.65	3.68	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.74)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	4.56 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
54.6%

Draw
25.5%

Potiguar
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.5%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

17.1%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Potiguar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Itabaiana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potiguar than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Potiguar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Potiguar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Itabaiana is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Itabaiana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
11.10.20	Itabaiana - Frei Paulistano	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Jacyobá - Itabaiana	2:2 ✺
30.09.20	Itabaiana - Coruripe	2:0 ✺
27.09.20	Central SC - Itabaiana	2:2 ✺
20.09.20	Itabaiana - ABC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWTT
- ACD Potiguar
Brazilian Serie D
11.10.20	Potiguar - ABC	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Vitória da Conquista - Potiguar	2:4 ✺
01.10.20	Potiguar - Central SC	0:0 ✺
26.09.20	Coruripe - Potiguar	1:0 ✺
20.09.20	Potiguar - Frei Paulistano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
17.07.16	Itabaiana - Potiguar	3:0
12.06.16	Potiguar - Itabaiana	1:0

Itabaiana - Potiguar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide