Match Info

Brasileiro A2 Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Itabirito		Minas Brasília

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.00	3.50
	1.87	3.20	3.70
	1.98	3.21	3.37
	2.01	3.32	3.39	Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.65
	1.99	3.15	3.56
	1.92	3.10	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.87)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.54 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabirito
46.1%

Draw
28.5%

Minas Brasília
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

28%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

27.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabirito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Minas Brasília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minas Brasília than the current prediction. (-2%)

Itabirito - Minas Brasília Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, ⚽,
75', 4 - 0, ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Minas Brasília may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Itabirito could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Itabirito won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itabirito FC Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
29.08.26	Minas Brasília - Itabirito	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Itabirito - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sport Recife - Itabirito	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Itabirito - Itacoatiara	9:0 ✺
24.07.26	Rio Negro-RR - Itabirito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTWW
- Minas Brasília
Brasileiro A2 Women
29.08.26	Minas Brasília - Itabirito	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Minas Brasília - Ação	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Ação - Minas Brasília	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Minas Brasília	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Minas Brasília - Ceará	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro A2 Women
29.08.26	Minas Brasília - Itabirito	1:1
03.05.26	Minas Brasília - Itabirito	1:1

Itabirito - Minas Brasília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide