Match Info

Primera B - Round 9

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Carlos Sacaan (Ituzaingó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Ituzaingó		Argentino de Merlo

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.82	2.2	Watch
	3.52	2.76	2.25
	3.54	2.66	2.3	Watch
	3.5	2.63	2.25
	3.48	2.75	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.23)	2.72 ↓ (2.86)	2.25 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
26.2%

Draw
33.4%

Argentino de Merlo
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

32%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

30.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo H. (G) 4. Aguirre M. 8. Bermejo M. 5. Campusano M. 10. Celeste F. 7. Fanti J. 2. Gayoso E. 6. Liporace I. 9. Maza J. 11. Miranda A. (C) 3. Politano A.	1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 6. Cohen E. 7. Jerez T. 11. Martin B. 4. Monge L. 9. Moreira L. 8. Romero L. 10. Scisci G. 5. Sica N. 2. Tamborelli E. 3. Ursino D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Gayoso E. 🟨,
23', Ursino D. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Sica N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Politano A. 🟨,
63', Sica N. 🟨,
66', Politano A. ↓, Sala H. ↑,
66', Celeste F. ↓, Mena L. ↑,
66', Miranda A. ↓, Bravo G. ↑,
67', Jerez T. ↓, Marcial C. ↑,
67', Lopez F. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
72', Bravo G. 🟨,
73', Maza J. ↓, Brotzman S. ↑,
73', Bermejo M. ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
83', Martin B. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Moreira L. ↓, Salvador A. ↑,
90+2', Scisci G. ↓, Cohen E. ↑,
90+4', Brotzman S. 🟨,
90+11', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 1.

Ituzaingó is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Argentino de Merlo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Argentino de Merlo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Argentino de Merlo	38	11	11	16	33:39	-6	44
22	Ituzaingo	38	1	12	25	25:62	-37	15

Last Results with these Odds

Ituzaingó - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.35%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
28.03.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Ituzaingó	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Ituzaingó - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sportivo Italiano - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Ituzaingó	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Ituzaingó - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTLT
- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
29.03.26	Argentino de Merlo - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Argentino de Merlo	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Argentino de Merlo - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Argentino de Merlo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
11.09.23	Argentino de Merlo - Ituzaingó	0:0
08.05.23	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	0:0
Argentinian Primera C
18.12.21	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	3:0 penalties
13.12.21	Argentino de Merlo - Ituzaingó	2:0
29.10.21	Argentino de Merlo - Ituzaingó	2:2
04.07.21	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	3:1
29.09.19	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	1:4

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