Match Info

Primera C - Round 8

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Ituzaingó		Leandro N. Alem

	1	X	2
	2.26	2.85	3.3
	2.17	2.72	3.81
	2.24	2.78	3.55	Watch
	2.47	3.12	2.91	Watch
	2.26	2.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.23)	2.86 ↑ (2.72)	3.37 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
40.5%

Draw
32.2%

Leandro N. Alem
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

33.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

34.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ituzaingó have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Leandro N. Alem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Ituzaingó - Leandro N. Alem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
79', 0 - 1, Tonet J. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 1, Moreira A. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ituzaingó won 2.

Recent matches Ituzaingó is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leandro N. Alem is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ituzaingó will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ituzaingó won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.6:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Ituzaingó - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
18.04.25	Mercedes - Ituzaingó	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Ituzaingó - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Puerto Nuevo - Ituzaingó	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Ituzaingó - Lugano	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Berazategui - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWW
- Leandro N. Alem
Argentinian Primera C
20.04.25	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Español	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Atlético Claypole - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Muñiz	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Leandro N. Alem	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Leandro N. Alem - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
03.11.24	Leandro N. Alem - Ituzaingó	0:1
01.06.24	Ituzaingó - Leandro N. Alem	0:0
24.10.21	Ituzaingó - Leandro N. Alem	1:0
27.06.21	Leandro N. Alem - Ituzaingó	2:2
08.10.19	Leandro N. Alem - Ituzaingó	2:1
15.03.19	Leandro N. Alem - Ituzaingó	2:2
08.10.18	Ituzaingó - Leandro N. Alem	0:0

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