Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade de Marrakech (Marrakech)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Tolo TV
Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 4, New World Sport 5, New World Sport 6, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	TPA 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Burkina-faso	RTB
Cameroon	Canal 2 International, CRTV Sports, Dash TV, Equinoxe, Media Sport Info
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Colombia	Win play, Win Sports
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Equatorial-guinea	TVGE Internacional
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Gabon	Groupe Gabon Televisions
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Madagascar	MATV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Mali	ORTM
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Claro Sports, FOX One
Mozambique	TV Miramar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Republic-of-the-congo	Tele Congo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SABC 2, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Togo	TVT
Turkey	Exxen
Uganda	UBC TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Ivory Coast		Burkina Faso

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.5	Watch
	1.98	2.95	4.4
	1.95	3.1	4.55	Watch
	1.91	3.09	4.98	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4.6
	1.97	3.17	5.04	Watch
	1.85	3	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.87)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	4.77 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivory Coast
48.9%

Draw
31.3%

Burkina Faso
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

29.3%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

31.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivory Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The chances for Burkina Faso have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivory Coast than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ivory Coast, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burkina Faso than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	18.7%	0%

Ivory Coast - Burkina Faso Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Burkina Faso (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ivory Coast will win (38 of 47 users predict this - 80.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.6% – 92.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ivory Coast will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Ivory Coast (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Burkina Faso (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fofana Y. (G) Rizespor 17. Doue G. Strasbourg 7. Kossounou O. Atalanta 21. Ndicka E. AS Roma 3. Konan G. Gil Vicente 8. Kessie F. (C) Al Ahli SC 18. Sangare I. Nottingham 19. Inao Oulai C. Trabzonspor 15. Diallo A. Manchester United 22. Guessand E. Aston Villa 26. Diomande Y. RB Leipzig	16. Koffi H. (G) Angers 25. Yago S. Aris Limassol 14. Dayo I. (C) Umm-Salal 12. Tapsoba E. Bayer Leverkusen 4. Nagalo A. PSV 26. Kouassi A. Lorient 7. Ouattara Da. Brentford 24. Simpore S. National Bank Egypt 18. Ouedraogo I. Odense 21. Irie C. Freiburg 2. Traore L. Shakhtar
Substitutes
20. Agbadou E. Wolves 9. Bayo V. Udinese 12. Boly W. Nottingham 14. Diakite O. Cercle Brugge 2. Diomande O. Sporting CP 6. Fofana S. Rennes 25. Gbamin J. Metz 16. Kone M. (G) Charleroi 11. Krasso J. Paris FC 23. Lafont A. (G) Panathinaikos 13. Operi C. Basaksehir 4. Seri J. Maribor 24. Toure B. Hoffenheim 10. Zaha W. Charlotte FC 5. Zohouri A. Iberia 1999	3. Ayinde A. Gent 17. Aziz Ki S. Wydad Athletic 8. Badolo C. Spartak Trnava 11. Bouda O. San Jose Earthquakes 5. Djiga N. Rangers 9. Kabore I. Wrexham 27. Kabore P. Hearts 19. Minoungou G. Seattle Sounders 23. Nikiema K. (G) Den Haag 1. Ouedraogo F. (G) Al-Hilal Omdurman 20. Sangare G. Noah 22. Toure I. Pyramids 10. Traore B. Sunderland 6. Zougrana M. MC Alger
Coaches
Fae E.	Traore B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Nagalo A. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Diallo A. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Diomande Y. ⚽, Diallo A. (A),
42', Nagalo A. ↓, Toure I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Traore L. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
63', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
66', Sangare I. 🟨,
71', Irie C. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
71', Yago S. ↓, Kabore I. ↑,
75', Diomande Y. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
75', Guessand E. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
79', Ouedraogo I. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
81', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
81', Diallo A. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Toure B. ⚽,
90+3', Kossounou O. ↓, Diomande O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ivory Coast won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Ivory Coast is the team to beat.

There will not play in Ivory Coast: Bayo V. (Knee Injury) Haller S. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Burkina Faso: Aziz Ki S. (Personal Reasons)

There are questionable in Burkina Faso: Irie C. (Injury) Koffi H. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ivory Coast won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivory Coast
Africa Cup of Nations
31.12.25	Gabon - Ivory Coast	2:3 ✺
28.12.25	Ivory Coast - Cameroon	1:1 ✺
24.12.25	Ivory Coast - Mozambique	1:0 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Oman - Ivory Coast	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Saudi Arabia - Ivory Coast	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWL
- Burkina Faso
Africa Cup of Nations
31.12.25	Sudan - Burkina Faso	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Algeria - Burkina Faso	1:0 ✺
24.12.25	Burkina Faso - Equatorial Guinea	2:1 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Burkina Faso - Benin	3:0 ✺
14.11.25	Burkina Faso - Niger	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

African Nations Championship
22.12.24	Ivory Coast - Burkina Faso	2:0
Friendly
19.11.22	Burkina Faso - Ivory Coast	2:1
African Nations Championship
04.09.22	Burkina Faso - Ivory Coast	0:1 penalties
27.08.22	Ivory Coast - Burkina Faso	0:0
Friendly
05.06.21	Ivory Coast - Burkina Faso	2:1
Africa Cup of Nations
26.01.12	Ivory Coast - Burkina Faso	N/A

Ivory Coast - Burkina Faso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide