Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN - RELEGATION GROUP

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Harjun Stadion (Jyväskylä)


	JJK Jyväskylä		FF Jaro

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.2	1.6	Watch
	4.33	3.8	1.6
	4.75	4.2	1.6	Watch
	4.92	4.39	1.62
	4.5	4.2	1.53
	4.65	4.2	1.6
	4.4	4.1	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (3.63)	4.16 ↑ (3.76)	1.59 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JJK Jyväskylä
20.2%

Draw
22.1%

FF Jaro
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

24.9%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

24.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JJK Jyväskylä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JJK Jyväskylä's form might have worsened.

FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FF Jaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JJK Jyväskylä than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FF Jaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

JJK Jyväskylä - FF Jaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viljala V. (G) 22. Luoma J. 27. Ake A. 21. Hoffren T. 3. Savela L. 20. Salo R. 10. Kirvesoja V. 29. Osso S. 8. Liukkonen L. 90. Tarvonen A. 4. Pihlaja O.	25. Ohberg E. (G) 5. Bjonback A. 6. Brunell J. 12. Moses K. 21. Myrevik J. 10. Eremenko S. 15. Kronholm M. 23. Sotelo G. 13. Holness O. 24. Remesaho J. 11. Bjorkskog A.
Substitutes
26. Ciriaco E. 30. Kananen J. (G) 33. Mahlamaki M. 16. Manninen A. 24. Nzeza M. 12. Rasanen R. 17. Venalainen E.	27. Carty D. 19. Hotta A. 8. Ramsay A. 70. Sillah S. 1. Snellman J. (G) 4. Stromback A. 22. Uwaegbulam J.
Coaches
Lehtinen T.	Ward S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches JJK won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Jaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jaro is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches JJK won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-22.

Including matches at home between the teams JJK won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JJK Jyväskylä
Finnish Ykkonen
27.09.23	KaPa - JJK Jyväskylä	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	JJK Jyväskylä - JäPS	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Salon Palloilijat - JJK Jyväskylä	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	FF Jaro - JJK Jyväskylä	2:2 ✺
29.08.23	JJK Jyväskylä - JäPS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWTTL
- FF Jaro
Finnish Ykkonen
27.09.23	JäPS - FF Jaro	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	FF Jaro - Salon Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	FF Jaro - KPV Kokkola	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	FF Jaro - JJK Jyväskylä	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Salon Palloilijat - FF Jaro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
02.09.23	FF Jaro - JJK Jyväskylä	2:2
17.06.23	JJK Jyväskylä - FF Jaro	3:1
Finnish Ykkoscup
04.02.23	JJK Jyväskylä - FF Jaro	0:3
Finnish Ykkonen
15.09.18	FF Jaro - JJK Jyväskylä	3:0
04.07.18	JJK Jyväskylä - FF Jaro	0:1
21.05.18	JJK Jyväskylä - FF Jaro	3:5
19.09.16	JJK Jyväskylä - FF Jaro	3:1

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