Match Info

Kakkonen Group C

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Heinäpää (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	JS Hercules		Jaro 2

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.75	7.25
	1.4	4.4	5.5
	1.31	5.61	5.75
	1.32	5.69	6.2	Watch
	1.17	6.15	8.1
	1.3	5.5	6.72
	2.75	4.2	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (2.88)	5.47 ↑ (4)	5.92 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JS Hercules
65.5%

Draw
17.9%

Jaro 2
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

22.1%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

20.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JS Hercules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JS Hercules's performance.

Jaro 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaro 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JS Hercules than the current prediction. (-31.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JS Hercules that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaro 2 than the current prediction. (+26.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaro 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

JS Hercules - Jaro 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. JS Hercules will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Jaro 2 will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. JS Hercules (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - JS Hercules (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. JS Hercules (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Taavettila E. (G) 5. Haapalainen N. 24. Jibrin A. 20. Karsama J. 2. Keskitalo E. 16. Montell J. 29. Riihiaho A. (C) 10. Sarajarvi K. 98. Siika-Aho L. 18. Simsek B. 11. Ukura S.	31. Snellman C. (G) 7. Bostrom L. 9. Bukin A. 66. Grannas D. 5. Gripenberg I. 25. Holmang E. 15. Kass T. 70. Laakso J. 14. Najafi M. 12. Sandstedt A. 3. Stenman T. (C)
Substitutes
3. Henttunen V. 14. Kainu J. 6. Karppelin A. 91. Lehtosaari S. 23. Pahti A. 15. Thurling S.	50. Bondarenko O. (G) 11. Ekman A. 8. Finell E. 20. Sjolund A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Holmang E. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Montell J. ⚽,
45', Najafi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Siika-Aho L. ↓, Thurling S. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Simsek B. ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Kainu J. ⚽,
68', Gripenberg I. ↓, Finell E. ↑,
68', Bostrom L. ↓, Sjolund A. ↑,
77', Montell J. ↓, Huitsi E. ↑,
84', Huitsi E. 🟨,
88', Keskitalo E. 🟨,
89', Laakso J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: )).

JS Hercules is Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage )

Jaro 2 is Qualified for Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage )

Recent performances by JS Hercules have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jaro 2 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jaro 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jaro 2 has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, JS Hercules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JS Hercules
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
15.08.26	VPS 2 - JS Hercules	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia 2	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Närpes - JS Hercules	3:2 ✺
23.07.26	TP-47 - JS Hercules	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	JS Hercules - JBK	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTLWW
- Jaro 2
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
15.08.26	Jaro 2 - Huima Urho	2:6 ✺
07.08.26	Jaro 2 - JBK	1:3 ✺
03.08.26	VPS 2 - Jaro 2	5:0 ✺
22.07.26	Jaro 2 - GBK Kokkola	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Jaro 2 - TP-47	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
14.06.26	Jaro 2 - JS Hercules	2:1

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