Match Info

Kakkonen Group C

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Heinäpää (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	JS Hercules		Närpes

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.1	2.4
	2.2	4.25	2.35
	1.69	4.94	3.34
	1.73	4.76	3.28	Watch
	2.2	4	2.3
	2.19	4.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.87)	4.41 ↑ (4.1)	2.67 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JS Hercules
45.1%

Draw
20.7%

Närpes
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

22.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

22.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JS Hercules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Närpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Närpes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JS Hercules than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Närpes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

JS Hercules - Närpes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Taavettila E. (G) 24. Jibrin A. 20. Karsama J. 2. Keskitalo E. 19. Korkala V. 13. Kotilainen E. 9. Kurvinen J. 23. Pahti A. 29. Riihiaho A. (C) 28. Tervaoja S. 11. Ukura S.	12. Kaarre M. (G) 5. Badnjevic R. 20. Bergvik V. 13. Ibric N. 9. Isanovic S. (C) 10. Kadic B. 7. Kalabic A. 19. Pomba L. 30. Skogman E. 18. Westerholm A. 11. Wulff W.
Substitutes
14. Aliyu A. 27. Attah S. 5. Haapalainen N. 22. Salmela E. 10. Sarajarvi K. 12. Tynjala O. (G) 4. Vaihoja S.	21. Chidobe O. 14. Krak E. 31. Norrgard J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Korkala V. 🟨,
38', Keskitalo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Jibrin A. 🟨,
60', Keskitalo E. ↓, Haapalainen N. ↑,
63', Bergvik V. ↓, Chidobe O. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Kurvinen J. ⚽,
70', Korkala V. 🟨,
72', Pomba L. ↓, Krak E. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Isanovic S. ⚽,
81', Riihiaho A. 🟨,
83', Pahti A. ↓, Sarajarvi K. ↑,
83', Kurvinen J. ↓, Salmela E. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Isanovic S. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JS Hercules won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Närpes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, JS Hercules won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, JS Hercules won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JS Hercules
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
16.05.26	JBK - JS Hercules	3:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
12.05.26	Inter Turku - JS Hercules	8:0 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
09.05.26	JS Hercules - TP-47	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Vaajakoski - JS Hercules	3:5 ✺
18.04.26	JS Hercules - GBK Kokkola	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLLWW
- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
17.05.26	Närpes - GBK Kokkola	6:2 ✺
09.05.26	Vaajakoski - Närpes	4:5 ✺
03.05.26	VPS 2 - Närpes	2:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
29.04.26	Närpes - Tampere United	0:6
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
25.04.26	Närpes - JBK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
28.09.25	Närpes - JS Hercules	5:0
14.09.25	JS Hercules - Närpes	2:0
18.06.25	JS Hercules - Närpes	2:3
03.05.25	Närpes - JS Hercules	2:3
19.06.24	Närpes - JS Hercules	3:1
13.04.24	JS Hercules - Närpes	0:1
02.09.23	JS Hercules - Närpes	2:0

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