Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 1 December 2023, Friday


	JSM Tiaret		Mostaganem

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.75	2.15
	3.13	2.74	2.38
	3.13	2.82	2.38
	3.75	3.1	1.91
	3.14	2.79	2.35
	3.35	2.85	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.84)	2.84 ↓ (3.1)	2.22 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JSM Tiaret
27.3%

Draw
31.9%

Mostaganem
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

29.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

28.8%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JSM Tiaret has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Mostaganem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mostaganem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JSM Tiaret than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mostaganem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

JSMT is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mostaganem in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Mostaganem is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches JSMT won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams JSMT won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JSM Tiaret
Algerian Ligue 2
25.11.23	SKAF Khemis Miliana - JSM Tiaret	2:0 ✺
17.11.23	Olympique de Médéa - JSM Tiaret	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	JSM Tiaret - Hussein Dey	0:0 ✺
13.10.23	Koléa - JSM Tiaret	4:0 ✺
06.10.23	JSM Tiaret - Témouchent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTLT
- ES Mostaganem
Algerian Ligue 2
25.11.23	Mostaganem - Hussein Dey	4:0 ✺
17.11.23	Koléa - Mostaganem	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	Mostaganem - Témouchent	1:0 ✺
13.10.23	WA Mostaganem - Mostaganem	1:2 ✺
06.10.23	Mostaganem - Guir Abadla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
11.03.23	JSM Tiaret - Mostaganem	3:2
22.10.22	Mostaganem - JSM Tiaret	2:2

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