Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group A - Losers stage

Date: 12 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Järvenpään keskuskenttä (Järvenpää)


	JaPS 2		MYPA

	1	X	2
	2.87	4	1.9
	2.75	4.35	2.02
	2.8	4.47	1.98
	2.96	4.29	1.94	Watch
	3.25	4.25	1.87
	2.75	4.35	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (1.8)	4.29 ↑ (4.15)	1.96 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JaPS 2
31.7%

Draw
21.4%

MYPA
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

22.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

22.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JaPS 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JaPS 2's form might have worsened.

MYPA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MYPA's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JaPS 2 than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JaPS 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MYPA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	7.1%	57.1%

JaPS 2 - MYPA Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. JaPS 2 will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). MYPA will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MYPA: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Kangaskolkka E. (G)
	9. Haimi O.
	17. Hassel J.
	18. Hietala V.
	11. Joutjarvi J.
	13. Kahkonen O. (C)
	6. Kostian J.
	32. Laiho V.
	14. Piira V.
	19. Polat R.
	8. Ritola N.
Substitutes
	99. Kaikkonen A. (G)
	61. Karppanen V.
	39. Niemi V.
	22. Pykalainen P.
	16. Rama J.
	34. Rautomaki N.
	24. Stadig T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
65', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

JaPS 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches MYPA is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

MYPA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches JaPS 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams JaPS 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JaPS 2
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
05.09.24	JaPS 2 - PPJ	2:3 ✺
22.08.24	MYPA - JaPS 2	4:1 ✺
04.08.24	PEPO Lappeenranta - JaPS 2	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	MYPA - JaPS 2	4:1 ✺
20.07.24	JaPS 2 - NJS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLT
- MYPA
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
30.08.24	PPJ - MYPA	2:0 ✺
22.08.24	MYPA - JaPS 2	4:1 ✺
10.08.24	MYPA - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	Grankulla IFK - MYPA	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	MYPA - JaPS 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
22.08.24	MYPA - JaPS 2	4:1
27.07.24	MYPA - JaPS 2	4:1
23.05.24	JaPS 2 - MYPA	5:3

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