Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 10

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Jabaquara		Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense

	1	X	2
	4.35	3	1.8
	4.15	2.92	1.87
	4.34	3.05	1.87	Watch
	4	2.8	1.85
	4.51	2.98	1.84
	4.7	3.2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (4.7)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	1.83 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jabaquara
20.7%

Draw
30.1%

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

28.5%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

27.8%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jabaquara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Jabaquara - Grêmio Desportivo São Carlense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 🟥,
85', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Jabaquara has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

São-Carlense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jabaquara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, São-Carlense is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jabaquara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Jabaquara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jabaquara AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
08.03.26	ECUS - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Jabaquara - Inter de Bebedouro	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Jabaquara - Barretos	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tanabi - Jabaquara	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Colorado Caieiras - Jabaquara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLLT
- Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
07.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - VOCEM	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Barretos	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Colorado Caieiras - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Tanabi	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Inter de Bebedouro - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
27.02.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Jabaquara	0:1
16.03.24	Jabaquara - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:2

Jabaquara - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide