Match Info

Baiano U20 - Round 11

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Jacobina U20		Vitória U20

	1	X	2
	9.84	5.39	1.19
	10.3	5.28	1.25	Watch
	13.4	4.9	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.18 ↑ (7.18)	5.19 ↑ (4)	1.22 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacobina U20
8.1%

Draw
17.5%

Vitória U20
74.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

23%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

22.3%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacobina U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Vitória U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitória U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacobina U20 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória U20 than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano U20 (Play Offs: )).

Jacobina U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vitória U20 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jacobina U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jacobina U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Vitória U20 is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jacobina U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacobina U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
01.06.25	Feirense U20 - Jacobina U20	3:0 ✺
24.05.25	Estrela de Março U20 - Jacobina U20	4:0 ✺
10.05.25	Atlântico U20 - Jacobina U20	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Jacobina U20 - Feirense U20	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Vitória U20 - Jacobina U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- EC Vitória Salvador U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
31.05.25	Vitória U20 - Ypiranga-BA U20	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
28.05.25	Criciúma U20 - Vitória U20	2:3 penalties ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
24.05.25	Atlântico U20 - Vitória U20	0:4 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
21.05.25	Vitória U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
17.05.25	Vitória U20 - Leônico U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Baiano U20
19.04.25	Vitória U20 - Jacobina U20	4:1

Jacobina U20 - Vitória U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide