Match Info

BRAZIL: Baiano 2 - Round 8

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday


	Jacobinense		Galícia

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.95	2.1
	2.94	2.94	2.12
	3.24	3.13	2.17	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.05
	3.35	2.99	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.8)	2.98 ↑ (2.8)	2.12 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacobinense
27.6%

Draw
30.1%

Galícia
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

30.4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacobinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Galícia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galícia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacobinense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacobinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galícia than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galícia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jacobinense - Galícia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Hugo Freitas ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 1 - 2, Eduardo Rosado ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Jacobinense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Galícia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Galícia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Galícia have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacobinense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano 2
03.07.24	Grapiúna - Jacobinense	4:1 ✺
29.06.24	Jacobinense - Vitória da Conquista	1:1 ✺
25.06.24	SSA - Jacobinense	4:1 ✺
19.06.24	Jacobinense - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	0:3 ✺
16.06.24	Jacobinense - Leônico	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLL
- Galícia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano 2
03.07.24	Galícia - SSA	0:0 ✺
27.06.24	Galícia - Leônico	0:0 ✺
20.06.24	Galícia - Vitória da Conquista	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Grapiúna - Galícia	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Galícia - Fluminense de Feira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTLL

Jacobinense - Galícia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide