Match Info

Prva NL - Round 9

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: NK Jadran (Luka Ploce) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	12:45	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Jadran Luka Ploče		Dugopolje

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.50	3.90
	1.82	3.30	3.70
	1.75	3.35	3.85
	1.81	3.52	3.88
	1.86	3.53	3.67	Watch
	1.79	3.45	3.80
	1.81	3.67	4.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	3.47 ↑ (3.24)	3.84 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jadran Luka Ploče
50.4%

Draw
26%

Dugopolje
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Luka Ploče has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Dugopolje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jadran Luka Ploče than the current prediction. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Dugopolje aligns with the current prediction.

Jadran Luka Ploče - Dugopolje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kesina I. (G) 19. Herceg T. 6. Karacic D. 10. Maric M. 9. Maric N. (C) 11. Matanovic L. 2. Miletic L. 16. Milicevic I. 7. Peric A. 77. Petrovic L. 47. Zilic R.	30. Mijatovic P. (G) 3. Gagula A. 19. Ghussein B. 22. Karabatic M. 25. Kozarac H. 4. Kurtovic R. (C) 14. Marasovic S. 17. Musura S. 28. Peric L. 24. Shatri F. 20. Vukovic J.
Substitutes
17. Antunovic K. 80. Bartulic J. (G) 24. Erceg S. 14. Granic K. 8. Radonic A. 20. Rodin N. 5. Silic R. 74. Spahic E. 4. Taslak K.	26. Ancic R. 10. Balic A. 18. Balic D. 8. Basic A. 33. Buljan B. (G) 27. Knezevic B. 6. Kuvacic L. 21. Sokac A. 7. Zdunic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Petrovic L. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Marasovic S. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Petrovic L. ⚽,
41', Peric L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Zilic R. ↓, Silic R. ↑,
47', 3 - 1, Milicevic I. ⚽,
50', 3 - 2, Peric L. ⚽,
57', Milicevic I. 🟨,
59', Maric N. 🟨,
59', Peric L. ↓, Balic A. ↑,
65', Petrovic L. ↓, Radonic A. ↑,
69', Balic A. 🟨,
69', Maric M. 🟨,
70', 3 - 3, Vukovic J. ⚽,
77', Herceg T. 🟥,
82', 3 - 4, Ghussein B. ⚽,
87', Miletic L. 🟨,
87', Ghussein B. 🟨,
90', 4 - 4, ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd and 13th).

Jadran Luka Ploče has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dugopolje has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Jadran Luka Ploče could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Jadran Luka Ploče is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Jadran LP	10	4	4	2	17:13	4	16
15	Dugopolje	10	2	4	4	14:16	-2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Dugopolje - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 24.09%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Prva NL
09.10.26	Sesvete - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Kustošija	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Vukovar 91 - Jadran Luka Ploče	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Orijent	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Bijelo Brdo - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWL
- NK Dugopolje
Croatian Prva NL
11.10.26	Dugopolje - Croatia Zmijavci	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Cibalia - Dugopolje	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Dugopolje - Dinamo II Zagreb	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Segesta - Dugopolje	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Dugopolje - Mladost Ždralovi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLT

Jadran Luka Ploče - Dugopolje: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide