Match Info

Druga NL - Round 25

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Jadran Poreč		Bjelovar

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.52
	5.84	4.33	1.39
	5.74	4.41	1.46	Watch
	6.48	4.33	1.4
	5	4.1	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↑ (5.01)	4.25 ↑ (4.09)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jadran Poreč
16.2%

Draw
21.4%

Bjelovar
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

22.3%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

21.7%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Poreč has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Bjelovar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Poreč than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjelovar than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Jadran Poreč - Bjelovar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches Jadran Poreč is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bjelovar is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bjelovar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bjelovar is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jadran Poreč won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:12 (average 1.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Jadran Poreč won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Poreč
Croatian Druga NL
18.04.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Jadran Poreč	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Jadran Poreč	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Jadran Poreč - Hrvace	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Dugo Selo - Jadran Poreč	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Jadran Poreč - Segesta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WLLLW
- NK Bjelovar
Croatian Druga NL
18.04.25	Bjelovar - Trnje Zagreb	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Karlovac - Bjelovar	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Grobničan - Bjelovar	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Bjelovar - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Bjelovar - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
26.10.24	Bjelovar - Jadran Poreč	7:2
27.04.24	Jadran Poreč - Bjelovar	2:1
21.10.23	Bjelovar - Jadran Poreč	1:1
04.03.23	Bjelovar - Jadran Poreč	3:1

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