Match Info

Central Youth League - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Jagiellonia Białystok U19		Polonia Warsaw U19

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.65	2.68
	2.16	3.7	2.87
	2.13	3.68	2.88	Watch
	2.17	3.56	2.8
	2.28	3.55	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.5)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	2.76 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok U19
41.9%

Draw
25.1%

Polonia Warsaw U19
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

24.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

24.1%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok U19's performance.

Polonia Warsaw U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Warsaw U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok U19 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia Białystok U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw U19 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Warsaw U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jagiellonia Białystok U19 - Polonia Warsaw U19 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Warsaw U19 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia U19 won 2.

Recent performances by Jagiellonia U19 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Polonia Warsaw U19 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polonia Warsaw U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia U19 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok U19
Polish Central Youth League
27.09.25	Miedź Legnica U19 - Jagiellonia Białystok U19	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Jagiellonia Białystok U19 - Lech Poznan U19	3:5 ✺
13.09.25	Wisła Kraków U19 - Jagiellonia Białystok U19	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Odra Opole U19 - Jagiellonia Białystok U19	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok U19 - Stal Rzeszów U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWL
- Polonia Warsaw U19
Polish Central Youth League
27.09.25	Polonia Warsaw U19 - Odra Opole U19	2:0
19.09.25	Stal Rzeszów U19 - Polonia Warsaw U19	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Arkonia Szczecin U19 - Polonia Warsaw U19	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Polonia Warsaw U19 - Legia U19	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław U19 - Polonia Warsaw U19	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Central Youth League
18.05.25	Jagiellonia Białystok U19 - Polonia Warsaw U19	0:2
03.11.24	Polonia Warsaw U19 - Jagiellonia Białystok U19	3:1
27.04.24	Polonia Warsaw U19 - Jagiellonia Białystok U19	1:2
15.10.23	Jagiellonia Białystok U19 - Polonia Warsaw U19	1:2
15.04.23	Polonia Warsaw U19 - Jagiellonia Białystok U19	1:2
01.10.22	Jagiellonia Białystok U19 - Polonia Warsaw U19	1:3
05.05.18	Polonia Warsaw U19 - Jagiellonia Białystok U19	1:4

Jagiellonia Białystok U19 - Polonia Warsaw U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide