Match Info

WORLD: World Cup Women U20 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1, New World Sport App
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
Bolivia	Unitel En Vivo
Canada	RDS 1, RDS 2, TSN 3, TSN 5, TSN+
El-salvador	Tigo Sports
France	New World TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Mexico	TUDN
Puerto-rico	Fox Sports 2
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com, FuboTV, Telemundo, TUDN
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, FIFA+ app


	Japan U20 W		Netherlands U20 W

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.5
	1.25	5.5	10
	1.25	5.5	10.16
	1.28	5.18	10.97	Watch
	1.18	5.5	9.5
	1.25	5.85	11
	1.25	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.45)	5.47 ↑ (4.33)	10.02 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan U20 W
74%

Draw
16.8%

Netherlands U20 W
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

20.6%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

19.9%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan U20 W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan U20 W's performance.

Netherlands U20 W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Netherlands U20 W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan U20 W than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Japan U20 W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Netherlands U20 W than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Netherlands U20 W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Japan U20 W - Netherlands U20 W Predictions

Users Predictions: Japan U20 W will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okuma A. (G)
13. Hijikata M. Beleza
2. Kashimura N. Beleza
14. Koyama S. Djurgarden
10. Matsukubo M. North Carolina Courage
19. Matsunaga M. Nitere Menina
8. Oyama A. Nitere Menina
6. Sasaki R.
17. Shiragaki U. C-Osaka
11. Ujihara R.
4. Yoneda H. C-Osaka
Substitutes
16. Amano S. Hammarby
15. Hayama M.
5. Hayashi M. Inac Kobe Leonesa
20. Itamura M.
18. Iwasaki U. (G)
3. Okamura R.
9. Sasai C.
7. Tsunoda F. Urawa
12. Wada A. C-Osaka
21. Wulf J. (G)
Coaches
. Kano M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Shiragaki U. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ujihara R. ↓, Amano S. ↑,
54', Stoit F. ↓, Oude Elberink E. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Matsukubo M. ⚽, Matsunaga M. (A),
61', Oyama A. ↓, Sasai C. ↑,
61', Matsunaga M. ↓, Hayama M. ↑,
75', Remmers I. ↓, Zuidberg Z. ↑,
75', Buikema N. ↓, van Beijeren J. ↑,
75', Van Egmond B. ↓, Kroese F. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Matsukubo M. ⚽, Hayama M. (A),
84', Thomas K. ↓, Lacroix R. ↑,
86', Sasaki R. ↓, Okamura R. ↑,
89', Matsukubo M. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,

Preview

Japan U20 is Qualified for World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Japan U20 in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Netherlands U20 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Japan U20 is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Japan U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan U20 W
World Cup U20 Women
15.09.24	Japan U20 W - Spain U20 W	1:0 ET ✺
12.09.24	Japan U20 W - Nigeria U20 W	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Austria U20 W - Japan U20 W	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Japan U20 W - Ghana U20 W	4:1 ✺
02.09.24	Japan U20 W - New Zealand U20 W	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Netherlands U20 W
World Cup U20 Women
15.09.24	Netherlands U20 W - Colombia U20 W	3:2 penalties ✺
12.09.24	France U20 W - Netherlands U20 W	1:2 ET ✺
08.09.24	Netherlands U20 W - North Korea U20 W	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Netherlands U20 W - Argentina U20 W	3:3 ✺
02.09.24	Costa Rica U20 W - Netherlands U20 W	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

World Cup U20 Women
11.08.22	Japan U20 W - Netherlands U20 W	1:0

Japan U20 W - Netherlands U20 W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide