Match Info

Asian Games Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa (Shizuoka)


	Japan W		Philippines W

	1	X	2
	1.00	61.00	46.00
	1.01	12.00	35.00
	1	16	25
	1.01	15.00	70.00
	1.01	11.00	30.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↑ (1)	23 ↓ (70)	41.2 ↓ (100)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan W
93.6%

Draw
4.1%

Philippines W
2.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

97.6%

1.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Philippines W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Japan W - Philippines W Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ohba S. (G) Rangers 8. Sakakibara K. Urawa 5. Seno Y. Saitama 15. Ito J. Nojima Stella 7. Hamada M. Omiya Ardija 17. Takarada S. C-Osaka 9. Ueno M. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10. Narumiya Y. (C) Inac Kobe Leonesa 14. Shiokoshi Y. Beleza 13. Kuwahara A. Inac Kobe Leonesa 11. Kamiya C. Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1. McDaniel O. (G) Stallion 14. Curran J. Salmon Bay 5. Long H. (C) College of Asian Scholars F.C. 3. Oka A. 8. Leach S. 20. Penn C. 21. Guillou K. DC Power 9. Frilles C. DC Power 6. Sawicki J. Calgary Wild FC 10. Ramirez M. 23. Murray M.
Substitutes
1. Asano N. (G) 12. Fukuda S. (G) Urawa 6. Funa Y. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4. Goto W. Urawa 16. Ikuta N. Saitama 19. Mizuno F. Inac Kobe Leonesa 22. Nakashima Y. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21. Nishio H. Urawa 3. Ohashi S. 2. Suzuki S. JEF United 20. Tsujisawa A. Inac Kobe Leonesa 18. Yumura H. Nojima Stella	2. Bonta R. 22. Bradley L. (G) 13. Cain Fontamillas J. Kaya FC 19. Carpio A. Kaya FC 7. Collins N. 12. Hawkinson K. Stallion 4. Lemoran C. Stallion 18. Meollo N. (G) Ipswich 15. Pasion I. Stallion 17. Sia A. 11. Tolentin D. Kaya FC 16. Wunsch S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Takarada S. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Ueno M. ⚽, Shiokoshi Y. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Takarada S. ⚽,
45+2', 4 - 0, Kamiya C. ⚽, Hamada M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Frilles C. ↓, Tolentin D. ↑,
46', Shiokoshi Y. ↓, Ikuta N. ↑,
46', Kamiya C. ↓, Ohashi S. ↑,
46', Seno Y. ↓, Tsujisawa A. ↑,
46', Takarada S. ↓, Yumura H. ↑,
46', Hamada M. ↓, Goto W. ↑,
63', Ueno M. ↓, Funa Y. ↑,
63', Leach S. ↓, Carpio A. ↑,
73', McDaniel O. 🟨,
85', Murray M. ↓, Collins N. ↑,

Preview

The betting markets point to Japan as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Japan has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:1 (averaging 7.5:0.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan W
Asian Games Football Women
21.09.26	Japan W - Chinese Taipei W	4:0 ✺
17.09.26	Vietnam W - Japan W	0:8 ✺
14.09.26	Japan W - Thailand W	8:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
09.06.26	Japan W - South Africa W	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Japan W - South Africa W	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLW
- Philippines W
Asian Games Football Women
21.09.26	China W - Philippines W	5:1 ✺
17.09.26	Hong Kong W - Philippines W	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Philippines W - Uzbekistan W	1:1 ✺
Asian Cup Women
18.03.26	Uzbekistan W - Philippines W	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Japan W - Philippines W	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup Women
15.03.26	Japan W - Philippines W	7:0
Asian Games Football Women
30.09.23	Japan W - Philippines W	8:1

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