Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 12

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de Diaraf (Dakar)


	Jaraaf		Pikine

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.78	4.25
	2	2.78	4.42	Watch
	1.96	2.75	4.41
	1.96	2.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.94)	2.77 ↓ (2.87)	4.32 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraaf
46.1%

Draw
32.8%

Pikine
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

32%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

30.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Pikine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraaf than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pikine than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Jaraaf - Pikine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaraaf won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Jaraaf is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Jaraaf won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaraaf won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.3:0.4).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jaraaf	30	9	14	7	21:16	5	41
9	Pikine	30	7	13	10	20:19	1	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASC Jaraaf
Senegal Ligue 1
11.01.26	Sonacos - Jaraaf	0:0 ✺
08.01.26	Jaraaf - Génération Foot	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Linguère - Jaraaf	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Guédiawaye - Jaraaf	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Jaraaf - Teungueth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWWW
- AS Pikine
Senegal Ligue 1
11.01.26	Dakar SC - Pikine	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Pikine - Sonacos	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Génération Foot - Pikine	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gorée - Pikine	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Pikine - Guédiawaye	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
31.12.24	Jaraaf - Pikine	0:0
28.04.24	Pikine - Jaraaf	0:1
16.12.23	Jaraaf - Pikine	0:0
18.06.23	Pikine - Jaraaf	0:1
11.12.22	Jaraaf - Pikine	Jaraaf awarded
10.04.22	Pikine - Jaraaf	2:0
18.12.21	Jaraaf - Pikine	1:0

Jaraaf - Pikine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide