Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Jaraíz		Santa Amalia

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.35	5.05
	1.68	3.38	4.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	4.94 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jaraíz
54.5%

Draw
27.1%

Santa Amalia
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.2%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Jaraíz - Santa Amalia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Cruz L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Recent performances by Jaraíz have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santa Amalia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jaraíz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Santa Amalia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jaraíz is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaraíz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.10.25	Azuaga - Jaraíz	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Jaraíz - Gévora	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Calamonte - Jaraíz	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Jaraíz - Puebla de la Calzada	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Jaraíz - Coria	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTLL
- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.10.25	Santa Amalia - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Santa Amalia - Cabeza del Buey	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Santa Amalia - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Pueblonuevo - Santa Amalia	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Santa Amalia - Coria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.09.24	Santa Amalia - Jaraíz	1:0

Jaraíz - Santa Amalia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide