Match Info

SERBIA: SUPER LIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 34

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion Ivanjica (Ivanjica)

Referee: Ostracanin S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport


	Javor Ivanjica		Kolubara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.6	6.25
	1.54	3.75	6.49
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.51	3.84	6.55
	1.53	3.75	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.93)	3.69 ↑ (3.1)	6.48 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Javor Ivanjica
60.8%

Draw
25%

Kolubara
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29.3%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.3%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Javor Ivanjica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Javor Ivanjica's performance.

Kolubara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kolubara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Javor Ivanjica than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Javor Ivanjica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolubara than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kolubara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	5.3%	10.5%

Javor Ivanjica - Kolubara Predictions

Users Predictions: Javor Ivanjica will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Javor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Javor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Javor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Javor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Javor Ivanjica
Serbian Superliga
02.05.23	Javor Ivanjica - Mladost Novi Sad	0:0 ✺
27.04.23	Spartak Subotica - Javor Ivanjica	3:2 ✺
23.04.23	Javor Ivanjica - Radnik Surdulica	0:0 ✺
12.04.23	Radnički Niš - Javor Ivanjica	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Javor Ivanjica - Čukarički	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLTLL
- FK Kolubara
Serbian Superliga
01.05.23	Kolubara - Spartak Subotica	0:3 ✺
25.04.23	Mladost Novi Sad - Kolubara	1:0 ✺
21.04.23	Kolubara - Mladost Lučani	0:1 ✺
10.04.23	Kolubara - Spartak Subotica	2:1 ✺
05.04.23	Mladost Novi Sad - Kolubara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
02.03.23	Kolubara - Javor Ivanjica	1:0
31.08.22	Javor Ivanjica - Kolubara	0:1
Club Friendly
21.06.22	Javor Ivanjica - Kolubara	0:0

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