Match Info

Ykkonen - Relegation Group

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Porin Stadion (Pori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Jazz Pori		Atlantis Helsinki

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	3.3
	1.8	3.8	3.3
	1.85	3.85	3.15
	1.88	4.1	3.49
	1.30	5.86	7.05	Watch
	1.88	3.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.86)	4.25 ↑ (3.75)	3.95 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jazz Pori
53.9%

Draw
22.2%

Atlantis Helsinki
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

24.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

24.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jazz Pori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jazz Pori's performance.

Atlantis Helsinki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jazz Pori than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlantis Helsinki than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Jazz Pori - Atlantis Helsinki Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heino O. (G) 77. Aydin N. 15. Bradbury L. 13. Kiiskila E. 23. Kyllonen L. 5. Lakkamaki J. 9. Layon 10. Lehto J. 4. Luhtanen A. 21. Puustinen N. 11. Rantanen J.	99. Heib N. (G) 20. Adam Y. 94. Ajunwoko C. 10. Bekhedda M. 50. Ejeh P. 24. Jokiniemi N. 18. Katashira C. 7. Ndaziramiye N. 23. Nworah D. 12. Sfishta A. 19. Yakoub A.
Substitutes
20. Ketonen V. 19. Lamminen F. 2. Lemio J. 14. Marttila J. 45. Riissanen J. 8. Victor de Paula	3. Fujioka S. 27. Lassoued M. 69. Manadir R. (G) 22. Mohamed F. 35. Singh A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Lehto J. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Ejeh P. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Layon ⚽,
33', 3 - 1, Bradbury L. ⚽,
36', Sfishta A. 🟨,
41', 4 - 1, Bradbury L. ⚽,
42', 5 - 1, Puustinen N. ⚽,
45+1', Aydin N. 🟨,
45+1', 5 - 2, Ejeh P. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 6 - 2, Layon ⚽,
62', Puustinen N. ↓, Majaluoma O. ↑,
62', Aydin N. ↓, Riissanen J. ↑,
63', Nworah D. ↓, Mohamed F. ↑,
68', Adam Y. ↓, Lassoued M. ↑,
69', Jokiniemi N. ↓, Fujioka S. ↑,
70', 6 - 3, Ejeh P. ⚽,
84', 6 - 4, Fujioka S. ⚽,
90+1', Majaluoma O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jazz won 2.

Recent form of Jazz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlantis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jazz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jazz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.5:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jazz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jazz Pori
Finnish Ykkonen
30.08.25	Keski-Uusimaa - Jazz Pori	0:5 ✺
27.08.25	Jazz Pori - JJK Jyväskylä	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Jazz Pori - KPV Kokkola	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	RoPS - Jazz Pori	3:1 ✺
06.08.25	Tampere United - Jazz Pori	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLL
- Atlantis Helsinki
Finnish Ykkonen
30.08.25	Atlantis Helsinki - RoPS	3:3 ✺
21.08.25	JJK Jyväskylä - Atlantis Helsinki	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Inter Turku II - Atlantis Helsinki	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Atlantis Helsinki - OLS	3:2 ✺
06.08.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Atlantis Helsinki	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
06.07.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Jazz Pori	0:1
26.04.25	Jazz Pori - Atlantis Helsinki	0:3
22.09.24	Jazz Pori - Atlantis Helsinki	2:4
16.08.24	Atlantis Helsinki - Jazz Pori	1:4
31.05.24	Jazz Pori - Atlantis Helsinki	1:3
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
23.09.23	Jazz Pori - Atlantis Helsinki	2:1
21.04.23	Atlantis Helsinki - Jazz Pori	6:1

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