Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Porin Stadion (Pori)


	Jazz Pori		MuSa

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.7	2.4
	2.25	3.75	2.5
	2.28	3.65	2.4
	2.42	4.33	2.5
	2.34	3.76	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.97)	3.84 ↑ (3.74)	2.45 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jazz Pori
39.1%

Draw
23.7%

MuSa
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

24.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jazz Pori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jazz Pori's form might have worsened.

MuSa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MuSa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jazz Pori than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jazz Pori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MuSa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Jazz Pori - MuSa Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Jazz will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). MuSa will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jazz: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group B (Winners stage) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jazz won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Jazz won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Jazz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jazz Pori
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
29.07.22	Jazz Pori - VJS Vantaa	4:1 ✺
22.07.22	Jazz Pori - Honka Akatemia	0:1 ✺
17.07.22	Tampere United - Jazz Pori	1:2 ✺
13.07.22	MuSa - Jazz Pori	0:2 ✺
07.07.22	Jazz Pori - Grankulla IFK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW
- Musan Salama
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
29.07.22	Tampere United - MuSa	1:2 ✺
23.07.22	MuSa - HJS	1:0 ✺
13.07.22	MuSa - Jazz Pori	0:2 ✺
09.07.22	Salon Palloilijat - MuSa	1:4 ✺
04.07.22	MuSa - Klubi 04	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
13.07.22	MuSa - Jazz Pori	0:2
Club Friendly
18.04.19	Jazz Pori - MuSa	2:2
23.03.19	MuSa - Jazz Pori	0:1
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
17.08.18	Jazz Pori - MuSa	2:3
08.06.18	MuSa - Jazz Pori	3:0
25.08.17	Jazz Pori - MuSa	2:0
10.06.17	MuSa - Jazz Pori	1:0

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