Match Info

SERBIA: Super Liga - Round 14

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Dragan Dzajić (Ub)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV


	Jedinstvo Ub		OFK Beograd

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.68
	4.2	3.75	1.75
	3.96	3.71	1.77
	4.06	3.73	1.81	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.67
	4.31	3.62	1.74	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (6.22)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	1.74 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jedinstvo Ub
22%

Draw
25.1%

OFK Beograd
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

25.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

25.4%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jedinstvo Ub has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jedinstvo Ub's performance.

OFK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and OFK Beograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jedinstvo Ub than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jedinstvo Ub that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OFK Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Jedinstvo Ub - OFK Beograd Predictions

Users Predictions: OFK Beograd will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Dubljanic M. (G) 27. Stevancevic U. 26. Savkovic U. 5. Damjanic V. 77. Golubovic S. 8. Ferreira P. 22. Matic U. (C) 18. Rakic S. 9. Milanovic I. 28. Perez T. 23. Moreno S.	1. Popovic B. (G) 77. Gobeljic M. 15. Djermanovic A. (C) 14. Momcilovic M. 45. Vukicevic A. 73. Annan E. 11. Mituljikic N. 7. Knezevic N. 3. Addo E. 8. Cvetkovic A. 39. Vlijter G.
Substitutes
13. Arana J. 11. Doderovic N. 34. Durasovic A. 43. Gustavo Vieira 21. Jordania L. 1. Jovanovic I. (G) 88. Jovanovic V. (G) 10. Miladinovic D. 70. Mitrovic M. 96. Paic A. 19. Runjajic B.	9. Bermudez M. 6. Dushevskiy D. 21. Lazic U. 10. Markovic S. 20. Nikolic S. 27. Obasi P. 63. Obradovic S. 16. Opoku Ackah K. 17. Stanojlovic S. 99. Stojilkovic F. 22. Stojisic N. (G)
Coaches
Obradovic M.	Krunic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Annan E. 🟥,
53', Matic U. 🟨,
65', Stevancevic U. ↓, Doderovic N. ↑,
67', Doderovic N. 🟨,
71', Moreno S. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
81', Perez T. ↓, Runjajic B. ↑,
83', Cvetkovic A. 🟨,
89', Cvetkovic A. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
90+1', Dubljanic M. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 1, Vlijter G. (Pen),
90+5', Vlijter G. ↓, Obradovic S. ↑,
90+7', Ferreira P. 🟨,
90+8', Knezevic N. 🟨,
90+8', Knezevic N. ↓, Stanojlovic S. ↑,

Preview

Jedinstvo Ub is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches OFK is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match OFK is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jedinstvo Ub won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:8 (average 0.3:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Jedinstvo Ub won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jedinstvo Ub
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	Jedinstvo Ub - Čukarički	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
25.10.24	Radnički 1923 - Jedinstvo Ub	4:0 ✺
19.10.24	Jedinstvo Ub - Vojvodina	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Bačka Topola - Jedinstvo Ub	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Jedinstvo Ub - Spartak Subotica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTLW
- OFK Beograd
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	OFK Beograd - Voždovac	3:2 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
26.10.24	Vojvodina - OFK Beograd	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	OFK Beograd - Spartak Subotica	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Radnički Niš - OFK Beograd	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	OFK Beograd - IMT Novi Beograd	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
21.04.24	OFK Beograd - Jedinstvo Ub	2:1
26.11.23	OFK Beograd - Jedinstvo Ub	3:0
20.08.23	Jedinstvo Ub - OFK Beograd	0:3

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