Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Jerusalem FC		Nordia Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.25	5.7
	1.36	4.51	6.66
	2.15	3.25	3.11	Watch
	1.48	4.29	5.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.12)	4.08 ↑ (3.2)	5.34 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerusalem FC
59%

Draw
23.2%

Nordia Jerusalem
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jerusalem FC's performance.

Nordia Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nordia Jerusalem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jerusalem FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nordia Jerusalem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Jerusalem FC - Nordia Jerusalem Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jerusalem will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Schwartz M. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Motro I. ⚽,
45+10', 2 - 1, Cohen M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 3 - 1, Schwartz M. ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, Cohen M. ⚽,
89', 4 - 2, Yehezkel R. H. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Jerusalem might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
10.10.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Jerusalem FC	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Jerusalem FC - Beitar Yavne	4:0 ✺
05.09.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Jerusalem FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
10.10.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Tzeirei Tira	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Kfar Saba 1928	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Maccabi Yavne - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
10.01.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Jerusalem FC	3:1
13.09.24	Jerusalem FC - Nordia Jerusalem	0:2

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