Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 1

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)

Referee: Sletner H. (Nor)


	Jerv		Ranheim

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.7	2.95
	2.08	3.8	3.05
	2.06	3.94	3.27
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.07	3.76	3.24	Watch
	2.08	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.17)	3.69 ↑ (3.56)	3.13 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
45%

Draw
25.3%

Ranheim
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

25.9%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ranheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Jerv - Ranheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ranheim will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerv won 2.

Jerv is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ranheim is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ranheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Jerv have a series of guest games.

Recently Ranheim have a series of home games.

Jerv will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Jerv won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Club Friendly
03.04.23	Vålerenga - Jerv	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Odd - Jerv	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Sandnes Ulf - Jerv	1:0 ✺
02.03.23	Viking Stavanger - Jerv	0:1 ✺
24.02.23	Stabæk - Jerv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LLLWT
- Ranheim IL
Club Friendly
18.03.23	Rosenborg - Ranheim	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Ranheim - Strindheim	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
05.03.23	Ranheim - Bodø Glimt	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
25.02.23	Ranheim - Levanger	3:2 ✺
18.02.23	Ranheim - Nardo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.10.21	Jerv - Ranheim	2:1
21.07.21	Ranheim - Jerv	3:4
04.11.20	Ranheim - Jerv	5:0
27.08.20	Jerv - Ranheim	1:6
29.10.17	Ranheim - Jerv	3:1
09.04.17	Jerv - Ranheim	1:2
07.08.16	Ranheim - Jerv	1:4

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