Match Info

2. SNL - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	NZS


	Jesenice		Vrhnika

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.30	2.55
	2.33	3.05	2.70
	2.29	3.56	2.65
	2.44	3.54	2.65	Watch
	2.19	3.50	2.60
	2.24	3.65	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.35)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)	2.67 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesenice
39.5%

Draw
26.5%

Vrhnika
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.7%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.1%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesenice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Vrhnika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesenice than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vrhnika than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Jesenice - Vrhnika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, ⚽,
79', 4 - 0, ⚽,
85', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 6th).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Vrhnika could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	NK Jesenice	9	5	1	3	16:12	4	16
8	Vrhnika	9	4	2	3	10:12	-2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Jesenice
Slovenian 2 SNL
20.09.26	Bilje - Jesenice	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Jesenice - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Krka - Jesenice	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Jesenice - Beltinci	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Jadran Dekani - Jesenice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.6 WWLWW
- NK Vrhnika
Slovenian 2 SNL
19.09.26	Vrhnika - Primorje	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Vrhnika	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Vrhnika - Rudar Velenje	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bistrica - Vrhnika	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Vrhnika - Dravinja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWLW

Jesenice - Vrhnika: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide