Match Info

MOROCCO: Botola Pro - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade municipal de Berrechid (Berrechid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Arryadia 3, SNRT Live


	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem		Moghreb Tétouan

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.92	3.2	4
	1.94	3.05	4.3
	1.89	3.08	4.27	Watch
	2.05	2.88	3.6
	1.93	3.1	4.14	Watch
	1.92	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.31)	3.1 ↑ (2.9)	3.99 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
47.6%

Draw
29.5%

Moghreb Tétouan
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31.7%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Sportive Soualem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jeunesse Sportive Soualem's performance.

Moghreb Tétouan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moghreb Tétouan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Sportive Soualem than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jeunesse Sportive Soualem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moghreb Tétouan than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Moghreb Tétouan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Soualem will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Moghreb Tétouan will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Doughmi H. (G) 5. Alaoui H. 15. Assouab J. (C) 29. Boutayeb O. 90. Cherrad A. 34. El Keraa K. 7. El Khaloui M. 10. Hasty A. 8. Hmaidou A. 4. Limouri Y. 13. Ouhrou M.	1. El Jourbaoui M. (G) 97. Al Cheikhi M. 17. Amhih Y. (C) 21. Ben Khajjou Z. 33. Dades M. 9. Darai H. 5. El Fakih M. 7. Kamal M. 44. Karmoun M. 3. Madkour A. 96. Rahim M.
Substitutes
11. Belouad H. 24. Chouikh I. 1. El Allouch H. (G) 14. El Yousfi A. 9. Icharane S. 23. Keddar Y. 28. Lagrouch K. 37. Mouiret M. 77. Sakhi Y.	24. Chabboud A. 11. El Megri B. 8. Hajhouj R. 10. Krouch Z. 12. Lamaiz S. (G) 6. Merabet O. 98. Merzouka S. B. 74. Oulad Abdelouahab R. 20. Wayo A.
Coaches
El Haimeur R.	El Amri A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Hmaidou A. 🟨,
12', Ouhrou M. 🟨,
37', Kamal M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Alaoui H. ↓, Chouikh I. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, El Keraa K. ⚽, Boutayeb O. (A),
72', Karmoun M. 🟨,
73', Hasty A. ↓, Lagrouch K. ↑,
74', Dades M. ↓, Wayo A. ↑,
74', El Keraa K. ↓, Sakhi Y. ↑,
75', Karmoun M. ↓, Merabet O. ↑,
84', Sakhi Y. 🟨,
89', Cherrad A. 🟨,
90', Ben Khajjou Z. ↓, Krouch Z. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Lagrouch K. ⚽, Sakhi Y. (A),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Botola Pro (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Botola 2).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Moghreb Tétouan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Soualem will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Soualem won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Soualem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
Moroccan Botola
14.12.24	Wydad Casablanca - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Maghreb Fez	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - FAR Rabat	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Renaissance Zemamra - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	0:0 ✺
08.11.24	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - FUS Rabat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTT
- Moghreb Tétouan
Moroccan Botola
08.12.24	Renaissance Zemamra - Moghreb Tétouan	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Moghreb Tétouan - FUS Rabat	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	IR Tanger - Moghreb Tétouan	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Raja Casablanca	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Berkane - Moghreb Tétouan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Coupe du Trone
07.04.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	2:1 ET
Moroccan Botola
03.03.24	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Moghreb Tétouan	1:2
29.10.23	Moghreb Tétouan - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	4:0
14.06.23	Moghreb Tétouan - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	1:2
15.01.23	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Moghreb Tétouan	2:1

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