Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday


	Jiangxi Lushan		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8	5	1.29
	9	5	1.25
	8.4	5	1.27
	9.3	5.15	1.31
	7.5	4.75	1.33
	9.3	5.35	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.58 ↑ (6.65)	5.04 ↑ (4.58)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
10.7%

Draw
18.2%

Meizhou Hakka
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

20.1%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.3%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Meizhou Hakka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Meizhou Hakka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jiangxi Lushan - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Jiangxi Beidamen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Meizhou Hakka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Meizhou Hakka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Meizhou Hakka is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Meizhou Hakka to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
08.09.21	Zhejiang Professional - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
04.09.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Suzhou Dongwu	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.08.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Wuhan Three Towns	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
17.08.21	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Jiangxi Lushan	3:2 ✺
12.08.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Guizhou	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Jia League
07.09.21	Meizhou Hakka - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
03.09.21	Nanjing City - Meizhou Hakka	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.08.21	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Sport University	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.08.21	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
10.08.21	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Sport University	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW

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