Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Joinville		Uberlândia

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Joinville
52.5%

Draw
26.9%

Uberlândia
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

27%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joinville's performance.

Uberlândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uberlândia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joinville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (+22.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uberlândia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Joinville is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uberlândia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Joinville is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Joinville won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joinville
Brazilian Serie D
26.09.21	Uberlândia - Joinville	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Joinville - Bangu	2:1 penalties ✺
11.09.21	Bangu - Joinville	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Joinville - FC Cascavel	3:1 ✺
28.08.21	Aimoré - Joinville	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWT
- Uberlândia EC
Brazilian Serie D
26.09.21	Uberlândia - Joinville	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Nova Mutum - Uberlândia	0:2 ✺
12.09.21	Uberlândia - Nova Mutum	1:1 ✺
05.09.21	Uberlândia - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Rio Branco AC ES - Uberlândia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTTW

Brazilian Serie D
26.09.21	Uberlândia - Joinville	1:0

Joinville - Uberlândia