Match Info

Catarinense U20 - Round 18

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Joinville U20		Carlos Renaux U20

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.10	2.40
	2.58	3.25	2.38
	2.64	3.26	2.34
	2.54	3.19	2.59	Watch
	2.60	3.20	2.25
	2.65	3.22	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.49)	3.2 ↓ (3.29)	2.39 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joinville U20
34.5%

Draw
28%

Carlos Renaux U20
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.8%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joinville U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Carlos Renaux U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville U20 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Renaux U20 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Joinville U20 - Carlos Renaux U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, ⚽,
30', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Joinville U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Joinville U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joinville U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
27.07.26	Barra Santa Catarina U20 - Joinville U20	7:1 ✺
22.07.26	Joinville U20 - Criciúma U20	1:3 ✺
19.07.26	Joinville U20 - Avaí U20	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Brusque U20 - Joinville U20	0:1 ✺
06.07.26	Concórdia U20 - Joinville U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWWL
- Carlos Renaux U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
28.07.26	Carlos Renaux U20 - Brusque U20	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Carlos Renaux U20 - Criciúma U20	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Figueirense U20 - Carlos Renaux U20	1:2 ✺
13.07.26	Barra Santa Catarina U20 - Carlos Renaux U20	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Avaí U20 - Carlos Renaux U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Catarinense U20
29.05.26	Carlos Renaux U20 - Joinville U20	0:1

Joinville U20 - Carlos Renaux U20