The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34.1%
Draw 22.6%
Katwijk 43.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
24.5%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
24.2%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Katwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (-4%)
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Katwijk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Suur R. (G) 2. Esser J. 3. Giersthove D. 4. Borrie T. 5. Gompel M. (C) 10. Oukhattou M. 6. Sandvliet N. 8. Guit V. 7. Arcos G. 9. Hanzen D. 11. Sallent K.
1. Michaelis M. (G) 2. van den Bogert V. (C) 14. van der Veldt K. 4. Maatsen D. 16. van Wageningen D. 10. Suleiman M. 20. van der Meer O. 8. Janmaat F. 7. Korte G. 9. van Duinen M. 17. Tiebosch G.
Substitutes
13. Bogerd J. 19. Ebite S. 14. Esievo E. 12. Jermoumi D. 20. Lindhout D. (G) 15. Oetoehganal L. 16. Silva Neves M.
37. Aissaoui L. 26. Bakker J. 22. Brenna M. 24. el Moussaoui I. 25. Toure C. 41. van Bladeren S. (G) 38. Veenbrink R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Hanzen D. ⚽, Sallent K. (A),
33', Arcos G. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
38', Giersthove D. 🟨,
42', Sandvliet N. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Oukhattou M. ⚽, Hanzen D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Tiebosch G. ↓, Brenna M. ↑,
51', Gompel M. 🟨,
56', Gompel M. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
56', Sandvliet N. ↓, Oetoehganal L. ↑,
60', van der Veldt K. ↓, el Moussaoui I. ↑,
60', Maatsen D. ↓, Toure C. ↑,
66', Korte G. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Suleiman M. ⚽, van Duinen M. (A),
76', Giersthove D. ↓, Bogerd J. ↑,
76', Oukhattou M. ↓, Esievo E. ↑,
87', Oetoehganal L. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Korte G. ⚽, el Moussaoui I. (A),
90+3', Suleiman M. 🟨,
90+5', Janmaat F. 🟨,
90+7', el Moussaoui I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Katwijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Sparta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
8
3
3
2
23:15
8
12
9
Katwijk
8
3
2
3
11:13
-2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Katwijk - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.81%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.