Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 23

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Jonsereds		Hestrafors

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.60	2.30
	2.38	3.8	2.4
	2.37	3.74	2.3
	2.39	3.98	2.39	Watch
	2.3	3.65	2.25
	2.38	3.7	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.04)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)	2.33 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonsereds
37.7%

Draw
23.9%

Hestrafors
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

24.1%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

24.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonsereds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jonsereds's form might have worsened.

Hestrafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hestrafors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonsereds than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jonsereds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hestrafors than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hestrafors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jonsereds - Hestrafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Mekic L. (Penalty Awarded),
12', 0 - 1, Delgado A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Egvik N. ⚽,
90+4', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th and 3rd).

Jonsereds has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hestrafors shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Jonsereds may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Jonsereds has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jonsereds against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Jonsereds	24	12	6	6	40:37	3	42
4	Hestrafors	24	12	5	7	48:39	9	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonsereds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
20.09.26	Åstorps - Jonsereds	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Jonsereds - Torslanda	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Qviding - Jonsereds	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Jonsereds - Astrio	4:2 ✺
23.08.26	Galtabäcks - Jonsereds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWT
- Hestrafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
19.09.26	Hestrafors - Kongahälla	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Böljan - Hestrafors	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Hestrafors - Lindome	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hestrafors - Torslanda	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Dalstorps - Hestrafors	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
22.05.26	Hestrafors - Jonsereds	5:1
29.06.25	Jonsereds - Hestrafors	0:0
06.06.25	Hestrafors - Jonsereds	1:3

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