Match Info

AUSTRALIA: WA State League - Round 16

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday


	Joondalup United		Rockingham City

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.7	3.2
	1.86	3.92	3.38	Watch
	1.87	3.74	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.02)	3.79 ↑ (3.75)	3.32 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joondalup United
49.2%

Draw
23.8%

Rockingham City
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

24.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

21.4%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joondalup United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Rockingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joondalup United than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joondalup United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockingham City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rockingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joondalup United - Rockingham City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, ⚽,
12', 🟥,
18', 3 - 0, ⚽,
31', 4 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 🟥,
45+3', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 5 - 0, ⚽,
75', 6 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Joondalup United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rockingham City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Joondalup United won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joondalup United
Australian WA State League
13.07.24	Kingsley Westside - Joondalup United	3:3 ✺
06.07.24	Gwelup Croatia - Joondalup United	2:2 ✺
29.06.24	Joondalup United - UWA Nedlands	2:0 ✺
21.06.24	Joondalup United - Sorrento	1:5 ✺
15.06.24	Dianella White Eagles - Joondalup United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TTWLL
- Rockingham City FC
Australian WA State League
13.07.24	Rockingham City - Gosnells City	2:3 ✺
06.07.24	Subiaco - Rockingham City	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Murdoch University Melville - Rockingham City	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Rockingham City - Cockburn City	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Mandurah City - Rockingham City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian WA State League
20.04.24	Rockingham City - Joondalup United	3:3
Club Friendly
27.06.20	Rockingham City - Joondalup United	0:0

Joondalup United - Rockingham City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide