The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Junkeren 18.3%
Draw 20%
Grorud 61.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.7%
22.4%
54.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
22.5%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junkeren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Grorud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grorud's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junkeren than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grorud than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grorud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Junkeren - Grorud Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hanssen B. (G) 37. Antonsen M. 10. Chooly S. (C) 18. Helbostad I. 15. Hussein A. 27. Moyo K. R. 3. Myrseth H. 99. Skarn-Johansen F. 30. Skottvoll J. R. 6. Strand I. 60. Unhjem I.
1. Andersson S. (G) 24. Bjeglerud W. 9. Haga M. H. 7. Larsen M. 19. Mahnin M. 16. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 4. Mrakovic T. 17. Rasen J. 2. Sandrakumar M. (C) 23. Sosseh T. 8. Tjomsland A.
Substitutes
11. Hammadou I. 17. Jakobsen A. 92. Kristiansen T. 5. Lamark J. 21. Lekang I. 7. Melstein E. 29. Rengard T. 14. Selvik B. 12. Skogmo T.
21. Alemseged A. 3. Brevik B. 42. Jatta M. 14. Kalnaes E. R. 6. Koko J. 31. Langedal L. (G) 5. Silfver-Ramage W. 11. Sorum C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Unhjem I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Haga M. H. ⚽,
55', Antonsen M. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
55', Skottvoll J. R. ↓, Rengard T. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Haga M. H. ⚽,
68', Unhjem I. ↓, Kristiansen T. ↑,
72', Marcello Silalahi S. A. ↓, Alemseged A. ↑,
74', Sandrakumar M. 🟨,
81', Haga M. H. ↓, Silfver-Ramage W. ↑,
81', Sosseh T. ↓, Jatta M. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Rasen J. ⚽,
85', Rasen J. ↓, Kalnaes E. R. ↑,
85', Tjomsland A. ↓, Koko J. ↑,
87', Hussein A. ↓, Lekang I. ↑,
90+1', Skarn-Johansen F. 🟥,
90+4', Helbostad I. 🟨,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 5th).
Junkeren has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Grorud is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Grorud could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Grorud has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Grorud is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Junkeren has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:13 (averaging 0.7:4.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Junkeren against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:5 goals.
Watch
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Hanssen B. (G) 
Andersson S. (G) 
Jakobsen A. 
Skogmo T. 
Alemseged A. 
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