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Current Win Probability
Juventud Unida Universitario 40.7%
Draw 34.7%
Cipolletti 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
28.2%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
29.6%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud Unida Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud Unida Universitario's form might have worsened.
Cipolletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cipolletti's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventud Unida Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cipolletti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Lucero J. (G) 10. Aman Campos F. 9. Amieva J. 2. Benenatti J. 3. Figueroa L. 4. Garro E. 8. Gomez J. 7. Noguera F. 6. Ojeda G. (C) 5. Perez L. 11. Sosa E.
1. Crespo F. (G) 9. Acevedo F. 8. Almiron A. 3. Garcia N. T. 2. Gonzalez C. 11. Gutierrez L. 10. Lucero G. 6. Manchafico V. 7. Peralta M. 5. Perez M. 4. Trejo N.
Substitutes
14. Chavarria C. 12. Cirrincione E. (G) 20. Dorato M. 15. Gomez V. 18. Lucero L. 16. Moya S. 17. Roldan V. 13. Rosales J. 19. Salinas G.
15. Dominguez M. 17. Flores V. 13. Garcia B. 16. Lopez M. 20. Luna N. 18. Obregon B. 14. Piro Y. 19. Vella L. 12. Veron A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Lucero G. ⚽,
81', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 2.
Recent form of Juventud Unida has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cipolletti has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Juventud Unida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Juventud Unida could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Juventud Unida won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).