The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventus 32.6%
Draw 28.7%
Roma 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.8%
27%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
27.7%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juventus - Roma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Rusek L. (G) 71. Lenzini M. 8. Rosucci M. (C) 4. Sylla K. 26. Khelifi L. 29. Pinto T. 6. Schatzer E. 3. Carbonell E. 22. Chiba R. 20. Redondo A. 15. Serturini A.
36. Soggiu V. (G) 23. Bergamaschi V. 5. Antoine M. 12. Ottey E. 13. Oliviero E. 10. Giugliano M. (C) 20. Greggi G. 29. Rieke A. 6. Doms M. 8. van Dooren K. 18. Piemonte M.
Substitutes
14. Bartel J. 27. D'Auria F. 1. de Jong D. (G) 17. Godo E. 40. Mallardi A. (G) 43. Mece E. 16. Noordman D. 19. Pavan M. 23. Salvai C. 77. Sarriegi A. 45. Viljamaa R.
30. Babajide R. 24. Baldi R. (G) 16. Corelli A. 4. Heatley W. 7. Jahnukainen S. 88. Klobucarevic L. (G) 19. Oladipo S. 22. Pandini M. 11. Pilgrim A. 25. Thogersen F. 32. Vergani B.
Coaches
Guerrero I.
Piovani G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, van Dooren K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Khelifi L. ↓, Bartel J. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Antoine M. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Redondo A. ⚽, Carbonell E. (A),
62', Pinto T. ↓, Godo E. ↑,
72', van Dooren K. ↓, Corelli A. ↑,
74', Lenzini M. ↓, D'Auria F. ↑,
75', Chiba R. ↓, Noordman D. ↑,
76', Piemonte M. ↓, Oladipo S. ↑,
80', Serturini A. ↓, Sarriegi A. ↑,
89', Doms M. ↓, Jahnukainen S. ↑,
89', Rieke A. ↓, Pandini M. ↑,
90+6', Antoine M. 🟨,
90+7', Redondo A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', 2 - 2, Redondo A. (Penalty Awarded),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
105', Bergamaschi V. ↓, Thogersen F. ↑,
112', Redondo A. ↓, Mece E. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Sarriegi A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Giugliano M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Bartel J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pandini M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Godo E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ottey E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Schatzer E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Oliviero E. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 2.
Juventus arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Roma is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Juventus has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Juventus has recorded 11 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:33 (averaging 2:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Juventus against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 26:17 goals (averaging 2.2:1.4 per game).
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Rusek L. (G) 
Lenzini M. 
Sylla K. 
Pinto T. 
Carbonell E. 
Chiba R. 
Antoine M. 
Rieke A. 
Doms M. 
van Dooren K. 
Godo E. 
Mece E. 
Viljamaa R. 
Babajide R. 
Heatley W. 
Klobucarevic L. (G) 
Thogersen F. 
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