Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Svealand - Round 12

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	Järfälla		Nacka FC

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.75	2.35
	2.29	3.55	2.72
				Watch
	2.25	3.52	2.62
	2.3	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)	3.64 ↓ (3.75)	2.52 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Järfälla
39.3%

Draw
24.8%

Nacka FC
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

22.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

20.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Järfälla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Nacka FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Järfälla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacka FC than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacka FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Järfälla - Nacka FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Medhin N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
78', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group).

Järfälla is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nacka is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Järfälla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
08.06.25	Järfälla - Täby	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Sunnersta AIF - Järfälla	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Järfälla - Falu	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Kungsängen - Järfälla	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Järfälla - IK Franke	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWW
- Nacka FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
06.06.25	Nacka FC - IK Franke	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Täby - Nacka FC	0:3 ✺
23.05.25	Nacka FC - Sunnersta AIF	3:2 ✺
16.05.25	Nacka FC - Skiljebo	4:0 ✺
11.05.25	Korsnäs - Nacka FC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

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