Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 10

Date: 1 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadsparksvallen (Jönköping)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Jönköpings Södra		Öster

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.5	1.98
	3.45	3.5	2.02
	3.45	3.66	2.07
	3.2	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.28	3.58	2.04	Watch
	3.45	3.65	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.62)	3.51 ↑ (3.24)	2.02 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jönköpings Södra
27.8%

Draw
26.3%

Öster
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jönköpings Södra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jönköpings Södra's form might have worsened.

Öster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Öster's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jönköpings Södra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Öster than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Öster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	16.7%	62.5%

Jönköpings Södra - Öster Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Jönköping will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Öster will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Öster: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Celic D. (G) 4. Manns J. 8. Adrian S. 3. Berntsson A. 7. Moenza M. 6. Karlin A. 24. Nikolic M. 9. Silverholt T. 10. Book R. (C) 18. Thorsson A. 13. Abdulla P.	1. Prekovic M. (G) 33. Varmanen T. 3. Berg M. (C) 2. Stenberg J. 21. Sigurgeirsson R. T. 11. Bonnah A. 8. Hauksson A. T. 4. Hedlund S. 19. Bergmark-Wiberg A. 10. Westermark J. 7. Kozica D.
Substitutes
22. Baze M. 16. Bjurnemark A. 23. Delaveris F. 11. Dzelili F. 30. Eriksson A. (G) 15. Eriksson A. 12. Strandsater D.	26. Gustafson A. 24. Johansson T. 18. Ljung D. 32. Lundahl Persson C. (G) 16. Magnusson I. 23. Rodic V. 9. Soderberg N.
Coaches
Garcia A.	Tufegdzic S.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jönköping won 3.

Jönköping is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Öster is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Öster is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Jönköping won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Jönköping won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Superettan
27.05.23	Jönköpings Södra - Brage	4:1 ✺
20.05.23	GAIS - Jönköpings Södra	0:1 ✺
12.05.23	Jönköpings Södra - AFC Eskilstuna	2:3 ✺
06.05.23	Östersund - Jönköpings Södra	3:3 ✺
29.04.23	Jönköpings Södra - Västerås SK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWLTW
- Östers IF
Swedish Superettan
26.05.23	Öster - Landskrona	2:1 ✺
22.05.23	Västerås SK - Öster	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Öster - GAIS	1:2 ✺
08.05.23	Örgryte - Öster	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Öster - Östersund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
06.09.22	Jönköpings Södra - Öster	2:1
28.05.22	Öster - Jönköpings Södra	2:0
14.08.21	Jönköpings Södra - Öster	2:1
27.07.21	Öster - Jönköpings Södra	1:0
19.09.20	Jönköpings Södra - Öster	4:1
18.07.20	Öster - Jönköpings Södra	1:3
14.09.19	Öster - Jönköpings Södra	0:2

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