Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Käerjéng 97		Differdange 03

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.15	1.43
	7.76	4.84	1.36
	6	4.36	1.45	Watch
	6.61	4.15	1.41
	7	4.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↑ (5.82)	4.4 ↑ (4.36)	1.39 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Käerjéng 97
13.7%

Draw
20.7%

Differdange 03
65.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.8%

21.1%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

22.7%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Käerjéng 97 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Differdange 03 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Käerjéng 97 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Käerjéng 97 - Differdange 03 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Differdange 03 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez C. (G) 10. Barbaro V. (C) 14. Bayilu Bonyonya J. 19. Bellali Y. 29. Boutrif I. 20. Ewert T. 3. Gerson L. 13. Lecomte E. 9. Mabwati I. 21. Moutschen R. 5. Ubaldini G.	84. Felipe (G) 10. Abreu A. 14. Bedouret J. 5. Brusco T. 4. D'Anzico K. 25. Franzoni G. (C) 23. Hadji S. 55. Leandro Borges 32. Lempereur D. 7. Mfoumou B. 21. Rauch L.
Substitutes
22. Campos N. (G) 11. Dieye A. 6. Ewert N. 28. Intini L. 30. Klein B. 7. Maison B. 16. Povoa D.	77. Bei G. 8. Bruninho 9. Buch A. 1. Da Costa E. (G) 34. El Idrissi A. 39. Jakobi L. 20. Pinto R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Leandro Borges 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Abreu A. ⚽, Brusco T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lecomte E. ↓, Intini L. ↑,
46', Ewert T. ↓, Klein B. ↑,
61', Mfoumou B. ↓, El Idrissi A. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Mabwati I. ⚽,
67', Boutrif I. ↓, Dieye A. ↑,
67', Mabwati I. ↓, Maison B. ↑,
74', Bayilu Bonyonya J. 🟨,
78', Leandro Borges ↓, Jakobi L. ↑,
78', Franzoni G. ↓, Buch A. ↑,
87', Buch A. 🟨,
89', D'Anzico K. 🟨,
90+1', Barbaro V. ↓, Ewert N. ↑,
90+3', Maison B. 🟨,
90+6', Lempereur D. 🟨,
90+6', Bellali Y. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Käerjéng 97 won 0.

Käerjéng 97 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Differdange 03 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Käerjéng 97 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Differdange 03 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Differdange 03 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Käerjéng 97 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:45. (average 0.8:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Käerjéng 97 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:25. (average 0.7:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Käerjéng 97
Luxembourg National Division
03.12.25	Käerjéng 97 - Rodange	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Jeunesse Canach - Käerjéng 97	1:3 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
09.11.25	Mamer - Käerjéng 97	2:0 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	Racing Luxembourg - Käerjéng 97	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Käerjéng 97 - Mamer	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLTW
- Differdange 03
Luxembourg National Division
03.12.25	UNA Strassen - Differdange 03	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Differdange 03 - Rodange	2:2 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
09.11.25	Differdange 03 - Pétange	2:1 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	Differdange 03 - Pétange	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg Cup
12.03.25	Käerjéng 97 - Differdange 03	0:4
Luxembourg National Division
25.02.24	Differdange 03 - Käerjéng 97	4:0
27.08.23	Käerjéng 97 - Differdange 03	0:1
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Käerjéng 97 - Differdange 03	0:2
Luxembourg National Division
08.04.23	Käerjéng 97 - Differdange 03	0:8
23.10.22	Differdange 03 - Käerjéng 97	2:2
07.05.17	Differdange 03 - Käerjéng 97	6:2

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