Match Info

Date: 13 July 2020, Monday


	KA Akureyri		Fjölnir

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	3.8	Watch
	1.75	4	3.6
	1.8	4	3.75	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.45
	1.9	4.15	3.62
	1.83	3.9	3.6
	1.85	4.15	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.91)	3.97 ↓ (3.98)	3.65 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KA Akureyri
51.3%

Draw
23.3%

Fjölnir
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

23.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

17.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KA Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Fjölnir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KA Akureyri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.4%	11.1%	18.5%

KA Akureyri - Fjölnir Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. KA Akureyri will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Fjölnir will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KA Akureyri: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.07.20	Fylkir - KA Akureyri	4:1 ✺
05.07.20	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	2:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
24.06.20	KA Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	6:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.06.20	KA Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:0 ✺
14.06.20	Akraness - KA Akureyri	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWTL
- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.07.20	Fjölnir - Grótta	0:3 ✺
04.07.20	Fjölnir - Fylkir	1:2 ✺
29.06.20	Breiðablik - Fjölnir	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
24.06.20	Fjölnir - Selfoss	3:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.06.20	Fjölnir - Stjarnan	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
17.03.19	KA Akureyri - Fjölnir	1:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.07.18	KA Akureyri - Fjölnir	2:0
28.04.18	Fjölnir - KA Akureyri	2:2
09.08.17	Fjölnir - KA Akureyri	2:2
14.05.17	KA Akureyri - Fjölnir	2:0

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