Match Info

Karnten - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	KAC 1909		Bleiburg

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.71
	2.74	3.46	2.22
	2.96	3.78	2.07	Watch
	2.83	3.45	2.19
	4.3	4.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.4)	3.76 ↓ (4.2)	1.96 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAC 1909
28.1%

Draw
24.6%

Bleiburg
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

21.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

20.9%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAC 1909 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KAC 1909's form might have worsened.

Bleiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bleiburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAC 1909 than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KAC 1909, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bleiburg than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bleiburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

KAC 1909 - Bleiburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

KAC 1909 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bleiburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

KAC 1909 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bleiburg is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, KAC 1909 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, KAC 1909 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC KAC 1909
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
05.09.25	KAC 1909 - Donau Klagenfurt	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Köttmannsdorf - KAC 1909	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	KAC 1909 - Dellach Gail	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Völkermarkter - KAC 1909	3:2 ✺
14.08.25	KAC 1909 - ATUS Ferlach	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLTLT
- SVG Bleiburg
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
09.09.25	Lendorf - Bleiburg	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Bleiburg - SAK Klagenfurt	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Austria Klagenfurt II - Bleiburg	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Bleiburg - Sankt Veit	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Bleiburg - Nußdorf Debant	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Landesliga Karnten
05.06.25	KAC 1909 - Bleiburg	1:0
28.03.24	KAC 1909 - Bleiburg	1:0

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