Match Info

FNL - Round 5

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: KAMAZ Stadium (Naberezhnye Chelny)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	KAMAZ		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	2.74	3.25	2.78
	2.65	3.15	2.7
	2.47	3.09	2.94	Watch
	2.41	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.45)	3.11 ↑ (3.09)	2.78 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAMAZ
36.4%

Draw
30%

Volga Ulyanovsk
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Zamerets E. (G) 7. Ayukin R. (C) 53. Deryugin A. 6. Kalistratov T. 27. Manuylov R. 9. Moseychuk I. 79. Semenov V. 22. Solodukhin A. 76. Sukhanov A. 37. Voronin E. 10. Zashchepkin R.	23. Baburin E. (G) 9. Folmer K. 17. Gershun I. 4. Ibragimov K. 30. Khabibullin A. (C) 99. Kostin A. 7. Nikitin A. 8. Rakhmanov D. 55. Saplinov A. 10. Shagiakhmetov R. 5. Stepanov D.
Substitutes
31. Anisimov A. (G) 19. Bogdanets M. 8. Dolgopolov E. 65. Gulko I. 11. Kokotun A. 18. Popov A. 91. Roshchin A. 13. Rybalchenko N. (G) 96. Shavel M. 28. Sultonov M. 67. Tkachuk R. 81. Tonevitskiy E.	77. Bagatelia L. 50. Bykov A. 60. Kasyanov I. 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 76. Livadnov V. 22. Rakhmanov D. 1. Shakerov R. (G) 39. Stepanov K.
Coaches
Khazov A.	Belov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Nikitin A. ⚽,
38', Nikitin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Moseychuk I. ↓, Sultonov M. ↑,
46', Solodukhin A. ↓, Bogdanets M. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Saplinov A. ⚽,
60', Sukhanov A. ↓, Popov A. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Semenov V. ⚽,
68', Voronin E. ↓, Shavel M. ↑,
71', Shagiakhmetov R. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
71', Gershun I. ↓, Bykov A. ↑,
76', Saplinov A. 🟨,
80', Folmer K. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,
80', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑,
83', Ayukin R. 🟨,
84', Deryugin A. ↓, Tkachuk R. ↑,
86', Nikitin A. ↓, Stepanov K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KAMAZ won 2.

KAMAZ is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Volga Ulyanovsk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Volga Ulyanovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KAMAZ won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, KAMAZ won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Kamaz: 0.78% Ulyanovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14
16	Kamaz	12	2	3	7	11:19	-8	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
03.08.26	Ufa - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	KAMAZ - Rotor	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	KAMAZ - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Spartak Kostroma - KAMAZ	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	KAMAZ - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
02.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.26	Veles Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
08.11.25	KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:3
26.07.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - KAMAZ	1:2
06.03.23	KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0
13.08.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - KAMAZ	0:2
Club Friendly
20.06.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - KAMAZ	2:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
04.06.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - KAMAZ	4:0
25.10.20	KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3

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