Match Info

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday


	KTP		HJK Akatemia

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.80	1.75
	3.57	3.92	1.77	Watch
	3.3	3.9	1.75
	3.59	4.33	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (4.11)	3.99 ↓ (4.8)	1.74 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP
25.9%

Draw
22.5%

HJK Akatemia
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

19.1%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

18.2%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

HJK Akatemia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJK Akatemia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK Akatemia than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK Akatemia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KTP - HJK Akatemia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Varis S. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, (Own goal),
39', 0 - 3, Mustalahti N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 3, Eskola I. ⚽,
82', 1 - 4, Mero A. ⚽,
84', 2 - 4, Jaakkola P. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group: ))

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

HJK Akatemia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, KTP has had a series of home games.

In this match, HJK Akatemia is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, KTP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Women
Finnish Ykkonen Women
02.06.26	HJS - KTP	4:0 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
27.05.26	KTP - Honka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen Women
23.05.26	KTP - Esbo Bollklubb	1:4 ✺
17.05.26	KTP - TPS	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	KTP - ONS Oulu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LLLWW
- HJK Akatemia Women
Finnish Ykkonen Women
31.05.26	Esbo Bollklubb - HJK Akatemia	4:0 ✺
22.05.26	HJK Akatemia - Lahti	4:1 ✺
17.05.26	HJS - HJK Akatemia	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	HJK Akatemia - Jyväskylän PK	5:1 ✺
26.04.26	ONS Oulu - HJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen Women
03.04.26	HJK Akatemia - KTP	4:0
29.07.25	HJK Akatemia - KTP	2:1
Finnish Cup Women
12.06.25	HJK Akatemia - KTP	3:4 penalties

KTP - HJK Akatemia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide