Match Info

Date: 12 August 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	KV Reykjavik		Fjölnir

	1	X	2
	4	4.1	1.61
	4.2	4.4	1.63
	4	4.1	1.62
	4.39	4.61	1.61
	4.6	3.9	1.57
	4.75	4.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.3)	4.27 ↑ (4)	1.6 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Reykjavik
21.2%

Draw
21.5%

Fjölnir
57.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.4%

22.6%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

22.5%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KV Reykjavik's form might have worsened.

Fjölnir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fjölnir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KV Reykjavik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fjölnir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

KV Reykjavik - Fjölnir Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. KV Reykjavik will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Fjölnir will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fjölnir: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 4).

KV Reykjavik is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fjölnir is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently KV Reykjavik have a series of home games.

In this match Fjölnir is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches KV Reykjavik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
05.08.22	KV Reykjavik - Grótta	2:1 ✺
26.07.22	KV Reykjavik - Kórdrengir	2:2 ✺
21.07.22	KV Reykjavik - Fylkir	2:3 ✺
14.07.22	HK Kópavogur - KV Reykjavik	4:0 ✺
09.07.22	KV Reykjavik - Selfoss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLLL
- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Division 1
05.08.22	Kórdrengir - Fjölnir	0:0 ✺
26.07.22	Fjölnir - Fylkir	0:2 ✺
21.07.22	Fjölnir - Þróttur Vogum	6:0 ✺
15.07.22	Thor Akureyri - Fjölnir	1:4 ✺
09.07.22	Fjölnir - Afturelding	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
03.06.22	Fjölnir - KV Reykjavik	3:1
Icelandic League Cup
12.02.22	Fjölnir - KV Reykjavik	0:1

KV Reykjavik - Fjölnir