Match Info

Uganda Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Kaaro Karungi		Kampala City Council

	1	X	2
	3.62	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (3.65)	3.1 ↑ (3.08)	2 (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaaro Karungi
25.1%

Draw
29.4%

Kampala City Council
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

29.6%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

28.5%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaaro Karungi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Kampala City Council have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaaro Karungi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kampala City Council than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Mugolofa M. (G)
	56. Ijara B.
	21. Kizito G.
	19. Kwikiriza S.
	13. Magambo P.
	25. Mubezi J.
	17. Mugume A.
	2. Mujuzi M.
	9. Nsibambi D.
	22. Sserunjogi J.
	27. Usama A.
Substitutes
	14. Anukani B.
	. Anyama E.
	. Joao Gabriel
	. Kwikiriza
	29. Lukwago H.
	. Lutalo U.
	18. Mayanja A.
	. Okimaru E. (G)
	7. Poloto J.
	. Ssebaduka S.
	. Ssengendo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Kamugisha C. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Usama A. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Kaaro Karungi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kampala City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kampala City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kampala City will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaaro Karungi
Uganda Big League
13.04.25	Kaaro Karungi - Kataka	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Blacks Power - Kaaro Karungi	4:1 ✺
Ugandan Cup
19.03.25	Kaaro Karungi - UPDF	3:0 ✺
Uganda Big League
09.03.25	Kaaro Karungi - Busoga United	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Entebbe UPPC - Kaaro Karungi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.9 WLWWW
- Kampala City Council FC
Ugandan Super League
16.04.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Kampala City Council	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Kampala City Council - Bul	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Kitara - Kampala City Council	4:0 ✺
28.03.25	Kampala City Council - Bright Stars	5:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
18.03.25	Kampala City Council - Rwenzori Lions	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW

Kaaro Karungi - Kampala City Council: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide