Match Info

ALGERIA: ALGERIA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stade 1 Novembre 1954 (Tizi Ouzou)


	Kabylie		JSM Tiaret

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.7	7.25
	1.35	4	8.5
	1.38	3.7	7.4
	1.43	3.87	8.06
	1.38	3.6	9
	1.39	3.95	7.9	Watch
	1.4	3.85	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.93)	3.81 ↑ (3.1)	7.99 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kabylie
64.9%

Draw
23.7%

JSM Tiaret
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29.3%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

30.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kabylie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kabylie's performance.

JSM Tiaret has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JSM Tiaret might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kabylie than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kabylie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JSM Tiaret than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JSM Tiaret could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	3.7%	14.8%

Kabylie - JSM Tiaret Predictions

Users Predictions: Kabylie will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Kabylie is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches JSMT is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Kabylie have a series of home games.

Kabylie will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JS Kabylie
Algerian Ligue 1
12.11.22	Kabylie - Saoura	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	MC Alger - Kabylie	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Kabylie - Khenchela	0:0 ✺
21.10.22	Kabylie - ES Sétif	2:3 ✺
CAF Champions League
15.10.22	Kabylie - ASKO Kara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT
- JSM Tiaret
Algerian Ligue 2
15.11.22	JSM Tiaret - Hussein Dey	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	Mostaganem - JSM Tiaret	2:2 ✺
18.10.22	Widad Adabi de Boufarik - JSM Tiaret	1:0 ✺
14.10.22	JSM Tiaret - ASM Oran	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Saïda - JSM Tiaret	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLWT

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