Match Info

State Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Kafr Qasim		Holon Yermiyahu

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.95	4.75
	3.08	3.26	2.25	Watch
	1.66	3.72	4.37
	1.77	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.34)	3.63 ↓ (4.4)	3.84 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kafr Qasim
48.1%

Draw
26.7%

Holon Yermiyahu
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

20.6%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

18.1%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kafr Qasim's form might have worsened.

Holon Yermiyahu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holon Yermiyahu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kafr Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holon Yermiyahu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Kafr Qasim - Holon Yermiyahu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kafr Qasim will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Holon Yermiyahu will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kafr Qasim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kafr Qasim is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
22.12.25	Hapoel Hadera - Kafr Qasim	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kafr Qasim - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Kafr Qasim	2:3 ✺
28.11.25	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Kafr Qasim	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWLL
- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
18.12.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Tzeirei Tira	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	1:0 ✺
01.12.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Holon Yermiyahu	0:4 ✺
06.11.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Kfar Saba 1928	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWWL

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